The UK economy looks very weak
Australia and Britain face many of the same economic problems, but the latest data show Australia currently has the stronger economy — accompanied by a more difficult inflation problem.
Australian real GDP grew 2.5% over the year to the March quarter, compared with just 0.9% in Britain. Australia's unemployment rate is also lower, while employment has been growing more quickly. UK employment increased by about 0.7% over the latest year, compared with 1.3% in Australia.
But stronger Australian activity has been accompanied by greater price pressure. Australian CPI inflation reached 3.5% in July, compared with 2.9% in Britain. Underlying inflation shows an even larger difference: 3.6% in Australia compared with UK core inflation of 2.6%. UK regular wages are currently growing slightly faster, at 3.5% compared with Australia's 3.2%.
The clearest distinction is monetary policy. Australia's cash rate has risen from 3.60% to 4.35% over the past year. Britain's Bank Rate has moved in the opposite direction, from 4.00% to 3.75%.
Australia is therefore outperforming Britain on growth and employment, but that relative strength comes with an important qualification: inflation is proving more persistent and monetary policy has had to become considerably tighter.
Neither country, meanwhile, has much cause for celebration on productivity. Output per hour grew just 0.3% in Australia and 0.4% in Britain over the year to March.
| Indicator | Australia | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|
|
Unemployment Latest labour survey |
4.5% | 4.9% |
|
Employment Latest labour survey |
14.81m | 34.47m |
|
Participation/activity rate* Latest labour survey |
66.9% | 79.1% |
|
Employment/population* Latest labour survey |
63.9% | 75.1% |
|
Policy interest rate August 2026 |
4.35% | 3.75% |
| Indicator | Australia | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|
|
Real GDP Year to Mar qtr 2026 |
+2.5% | +0.9% |
|
Headline CPI Year to July 2026 |
+3.5% | +2.9% |
|
Underlying/core inflation** Year to July 2026 |
+3.6% | +2.6% |
|
Employment Latest annual change |
+1.3% | +0.7% |
|
Unemployment rate 12-month change |
+0.2 ppt | +0.2 ppt |
|
Wages Year to Jun qtr 2026 |
+3.2% | +3.5% |
|
Labour productivity Year to Mar qtr 2026 |
+0.3% | +0.4% |
|
Policy interest rate 12-month change |
+0.75 ppt | −0.25 ppt |